Market Sentiment Explained
Market sentiment is the collective emotion of traders — fear, greed, confidence, hesitation — and it drives price harder than any indicator. If you ignore sentiment, you’ll constantly be on the wrong side of big moves and fakeouts.
What Market Sentiment Actually Measures
Sentiment isn’t about fundamentals or technicals. It’s about how traders feel about risk right now. That emotional state influences how aggressively they buy or sell.
- Fear → selling pressure
- Greed → chasing breakouts
- Uncertainty → choppy price
- Confidence → bigger position sizes
If you already understand how liquidity affects price (see Futures Liquidity), sentiment is the psychological layer sitting on top of it.
How Traders Measure Sentiment
There’s no single tool that measures sentiment. Instead, traders look at signs across multiple areas:
| Sentiment Input | What It Tells You |
|---|---|
| Volatility | Fear or caution climbing |
| News and Headlines | The market’s emotional trigger points |
| Price Reaction Speed | How emotional traders are |
| Volume Surges | Conviction behind a move |
Why Sentiment Moves Price Faster Than Fundamentals
Fundamentals change slowly. Sentiment can flip in five seconds. One headline can erase hours of technical analysis. This is why traders who understand both sentiment and microstructure (see your Market Microstructure page) usually outperform chart-only traders.
Bottom Line
Sentiment isn’t optional. If you want to understand why price moves when it does, you need to understand how traders feel about risk in that moment. Price reacts to emotions long before it reacts to logic.