Tape classification · evidence before narrative
6S Liquidity Labels: Define Sweeps, False Breaks and Drifts
Three traders can watch the same 6S move and call it a stop sweep, a failed breakout and a slow drift. Those labels are not interchangeable observations. Each needs a frozen reference level, path, clock and required data fields—or it is only a story attached after the chart is complete.
Operational definitions
Make Every Label Computable From Available Data
The definitions below are protocol patterns, not claims that 6S exhibits them at a stable rate. Thresholds, reference levels and horizons must be fixed before replay.
| Label | Required path | Required outcome | Do not infer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweep candidate | Price trades through a predeclared level by a minimum distance within a maximum time | Classify only the traversal; continuation or rejection is a separate field | Stops, manipulation, trader identity or intent |
| False-break candidate | Price first satisfies the frozen break rule beyond a predeclared level | Then returns through a frozen reclaim boundary within the registered horizon | That the break “trapped” participants or will keep reversing |
| Slow-drift candidate | Signed movement accumulates with bounded pullbacks and a declared path-efficiency threshold | Persists for the frozen duration without a disqualifying jump/event | Low risk, informed flow or inevitable continuation |
| Unclassified | Required fields, level history or clock state are missing/conflicted | No label | Nearest-looking category |
Trades through a level are observable. The resting orders that canceled, filled or arrived can be studied only with suitable order-level data. The beneficial owners, motives and off-book stops generally remain unknown.
Claim-to-field discipline
Use the Minimum Data That Can Support the Claim
Candles can define price paths at their resolution but cannot reconstruct the book. Quote and order data add fields; they do not reveal intent.
Bars
Path summary
OHLC, volume, exact boundary and completion time. Intrabar ordering remains unresolved unless finer data are used.
Trades
Executed sequence
Exchange time, price, quantity, aggressor logic if defined, corrections and sequence gaps.
Quotes/depth
Displayed state
Bid, ask, quantities, levels and updates. Displayed liquidity can cancel before an order arrives.
Own orders
Experienced execution
Decision, send, acknowledgment, fills, partials and cancels are needed for realized shortfall.
- Preserve the dated contract. A continuous series can splice different order books and create artificial level events.
- Version the roll. Declare when the study changes expiries and how open intervals are handled.
- Audit sequence gaps. Missing updates cannot be silently treated as an unchanged book.
- Keep zero and missing distinct. No trade, no quote and no data are three states.
Causality needs a clock
Record the Sequence Before Naming the Pattern
The same high and low can arise from incompatible sequences. Store when the level became known, when it was first touched, what happened beyond it and when the outcome became classifiable.
Register the level
Name the source, price, creation time, expiry and whether future data can revise it.
First eligible touch
Record book state, event tags and the first trade/quote satisfying the rule.
Traverse or reject
Measure signed distance, elapsed time, traded quantity, quote changes and gaps.
Resolve the horizon
Apply the frozen continuation, reclaim, timeout or unclassified outcome.
absolute net move÷sum of absolute interval moves=path efficiency from 0 to 1Metric boundary: path efficiency is a descriptive candidate, not a profitable drift signal. Sampling interval, missing-data policy, event exclusions and threshold must be registered before observing outcomes.
Labels can fail
Write Disqualifiers Into the Definition
A robust classifier says when it cannot decide. These conditions prevent a vivid chart from being forced into the nearest narrative.
Reference failure
The level was not knowable
- Pivot uses future bars
- Level moved after contact
- Continuous-chart splice
- Unspecified tolerance
Data failure
The path is incomplete
- Sequence gap
- Crossed/stale book
- Unresolved intrabar order
- Wrong contract month
State failure
A confound dominates
- Scheduled release collision
- Exchange pause/holiday
- Roll migration
- Threshold changed later
Reproducible replay
One Record Per Candidate, Including Rejections
A second reviewer should reproduce the label from the stored fields without seeing the later trade result.
6S tape-classification record
- Identity
- Dated contract, source, schema, checksum, timezone and CME trade date.
- Reference
- Level price, source rule, creation timestamp, expiry and revision policy.
- Eligibility
- Event, holiday, roll, spread, depth and data-integrity flags at first touch.
- Path
- Signed excursion, duration, trades, volume, quote/depth changes and sequence gaps.
- Outcome
- Sweep candidate, false-break candidate, slow-drift candidate or unclassified, with rule version.
- Later result
- Stored separately after classification; never used to relabel the candidate.
Develop
Choose definitions and cleaning policy on an early chronological block.
Lock
Freeze parameters, hierarchy when labels collide and every disqualifier.
Replay
Classify forward using only information available at each timestamp.
Audit
Report counts, overlaps, unclassified states and reviewer disagreement.
From label to decision
A Description Is Not an Entry Signal
Even a reproducible label needs a separately tested strategy, order rule, costs and risk veto. Do not map “false break” directly to “fade” or “drift” directly to “follow.”
No original 6S frequency, transition probability, expectancy, preferred label, order-book finding or trading result is reported. The valid output is unclassified or no trade whenever the required evidence or a separately validated strategy is absent.
Sources, methods and editorial disclosure — reviewed August 21, 2026
- CME DataMine historical-data catalog for distinctions among settlement, trade, Market by Price, Market by Order and PCAP data.
- CME Market by Order FAQ for order-level message and priority fields.
- CME Group trading-hours and holiday schedules for venue-state controls.
- CME Rulebook Chapter 254 for the dated 6S contract identity.
- CFTC advisory on commodity trading systems and hypothetical results for hindsight and simulated-execution limits.
Sources and methods were reviewed August 21, 2026. No CME dataset was purchased or analyzed for this page. The article distinguishes observations, operational labels, causal claims, forecasts and trading applications.